Saturday, April 5, 2008

The Inflation Monster

Why is counterfeiting illegal?

Good question!

Answer: Because it causes inflation.

What is inflation?

Answer: An increase in the money supply.

What difference is there between a 'criminal' element printing money and the 'Government' element printing money?

Answer: No difference.

If you have one widget worth one dollar and the government doubles the money supply the widget now becomes worth two dollars. It's the same widget. The widget did not change. Rather the dollar became worth less. In fact, each dollar is now worth less. In fact worth only $0.50.

So, as the government 'element' continues to print more and more paper money, the value of the paper money becomes worth less and less. Soon it will become worthless.

Houses do not increase in value. The dollar decreases in value which means it takes more paper dollars to purchase what used to cost less.

This is a paradigm switch in thinking. Everyone believes that homes increase in value, in reality, they remain the same and the money decreases in value. This is false thinking.

If one thinks of it in reverse, it becomes clear what paper 'money' really is. It's a medium of exchange that keeps devaluing over time.

It wasn't always this way. Back when the U.S. used money backed by gold and silver it had worth. A 'savings account' at the bank actually was a worthwhile endeavor. Today's inflation makes a 'savings account' a losing proposition. The bank pays less than the rate of inflation which causes the money saved to lose value over time.

This is the reason that the Founding Fathers put Article I, Section 10 in the Constitution which states:

"No State Shall Make Any Thing But Gold And Silver Coin A Payment In Tender Of Debt."


They were wise. They were historians. They knew that 'fiat' money would always go to its intrinsic value of zero. They lived through it in England and the New World Colonies. They did not want that to happen in the U.S.

You cannot inflate gold or silver coins. You can shave the edges, but that is why there are ridges on the sides of coins to prevent that. Coins are denominated in ounces. A one ounce gold coin should always weigh 1 oz. Over time coins wear and become lighter, but there isn't another coin created out of the wear, as would happen when coins were shaved. The shavings were melted and another coin was created.

Back when money was gold and silver, banks used to issue 'script'. Script is a piece of paper indicating that the gold, or silver, was deposited in the bank. Like checks, people started using script as a form of money. The Script was 'Certified'. "Certified Funds" means that the money (silver and gold) is on deposit in the bank that issued it.

Over time, the Federal Reserve (a non government private bank) changed the wording on our money from 'Certified' to 'Note'. A "Note" is a sign of debt that means there is nothing backing the money. There is no 'wealth' backing a 'Note', just 'good faith' that it will be paid. It's an I.O.U.

Now, think about inflation and the government borrowing more notes from the non Federal Reserve at an ever increasing rate with interest. The government is borrowing 'debt' not 'wealth'. With every 'loan' of paper from the Fed, the paper 'value' becomes worth less and less.

This is why, in 1913, a loaf of bread sold for 5c and today it sells for $2.50. Why a house sold for $4000 that today sells for $400,000. Inflation. Wages do not keep up with inflation. So, over time, our nation becomes more in debt and poorer as a people.

Counterfeiting causes inflation no matter who does it.

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

The Real Estate Market is HOT!

In case anyone is wondering about real estate - the market today is hot. Anytime, is a good time to buy real estate.

I bought my first home in 1982. The interest rate was around 16%! I got in with an ARM at 13.25%. I was happy to have a home. I could afford the payments.

The difference between then and now? Back then mortgage rates were dropping from a high of 18% or so. In two years I refinanced with a fixed 10% rate which locked my payment in at $535 PITI.

As many of you know, the late 1980's were horrible real estate years. Like now, there were for sale signs up and down the block. Did I care? Not in the least. Why? Because I didn't have to sell. I held that property until 1999, when I sold it for $168K. I still owed $50K on the note!

The key is to not listen to the bankers when they tell you to 'refinance your home' and to 'use that equity...it's just sitting there doing nothing!' The rule is never take money out on a refi unless you are putting it back into the home. Upgrade, or install, a kitchen or bath. That's the smart thing to do.

As inflation occurs...and it will occur, you will reap the benefit in the long run. Do not live beyond your means. That's what got all these folks in foreclosure. They foolishly refinanced, took out money and spent it on junk: Vacations, cars, paid off credit cards (...lived beyond their means!) etc.

The bankers were not your friend in this process. They offered you monthly payments on a sheet of paper: $1200, $1000, $800, $600, $400, $200 etc. "You choose". If you picked the lower amounts, or if you were buying too much house, guess what? You got an ARM!

What is an ARM? An ARM is an Adjustable Rate Mortgage. Whatever goes up, must come down and vis versa. It locks you into a severe prepayment penalty (i.e., refinance) for 2 or 3 years. If rates happen to rise, so do your monthly payments. Some had a 1 year lock before 'adjusting' to the next level.

Once the rates began to rise, so did the monthly payment. If folks were living beyond their means, i.e., credit card balances, vacations, new fancy car leases etc. there was no 'extra' cash to pay for the increase in mortgage payment. God forbid if a medical emergency arose. Something had to give. Eat, or pay for the mortgage? The choice is yours.

All could have been avoided by following smart sensible conservative values regarding money. Live within your means. Understand the legal ramifications of any documents you sign. If you do not, then you shouldn't be signing them.

Caveat Emptor: YOU have a duty to Do your OWN Due Diligence. It's no one's fault but your own.